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Aug 082011
 
Starks is battling Grant for the starting halfback job

Starks is battling Grant for the starting halfback job

The one thing I’ve learned from watching Matt Flynn the past four summers is that he will always play better than he practices. Aaron Rodgers‘ backup is off to another relatively slow start, but there’s no reason to be concerned. He’ll find a way to move the offense as soon as the opposition is wearing different colored uniforms. I didn’t see what the coaches saw in Graham Harrell last summer and I still don’t see it. His arm is weak and his accuracy is average at best. The lockout is the only argument I can make for keeping him around. At least he knows the system.

I used to think James Starks looked like a poor man’s Eric Dickerson, but now I’m tempted to remove the words poor and man. That’s how terrific he’s looked in training camp. The playoff sensation is running with great power and decisiveness. While Ryan Grant appears fully recovered from the ankle injury that ended his 2010 season, he simply doesn’t possess Starks’ physical ability. The former 1,200 yard rusher may be the nominal starter when the Saints come to Lambeau, but I can’t imagine him getting the bulk of the carries. Rookie Alex Green hasn’t done much through the first week of practices.

Jermichael Finley is an absolute freak. His height, athletic ability and soft hands make him almost impossible to defend. He’s almost toying with the poor souls who are assigned to cover him. Barring injury or stupidity, there’s no way I can imagine general manager Ted Thompson letting this guy get away. Prior to Finley’s return to the practice field, the most impressive tight end was seventh-round pick Ryan Taylor. He isn’t as savvy a route runner as fellow rookie D.J. Williams or as strong a blocker as Tom Crabtree, but he’s a more complete player. He has a good chance of making the team.

The coaches are giving the young receivers plenty of snaps, and a few of them have taken advantage of the heavy workload. Second-round pick Randall Cobb has looked terrific. His incredible quickness makes him stand out from the crowd. I realize the Packers have the best quartet of veteran receivers in the league, but coach Mike McCarthy will find ways to get Cobb on the field. Count on it. If the team wasn’t so deep at this position, either Chastin West or Shaky Smithson would have a legitimate chance to stick. West isn’t flashy, but he runs good routes and catches almost everything. Smithson is a quick as a hiccup return specialist with enough raw skills to eventually develop into a useful NFL receiver.

Bryan Bulaga looks like the player ready to take the biggest leap from season one to season two. He’s so much more confident than he was a year ago. And why not? He now has 16 starts under his belt, and more importantly, the coaches are no longer asking him to learn multiple positions. First-round pick Derek Sherrod has struggled at left guard after spending his entire college career at tackle. Veteran T.J. Lang has been more impressive, but it’s early. If Sherrod doesn’t start, he might find himself backing up Bulaga. That’s because Marshall Newhouse will be hard to supplant as Chad Clifton‘s understudy. The quick-footed youngster been one of the most improved players in camp. I was surprised when Nick McDonald made the team last summer. I didn’t see anything to get excited about – and I still don’t. Right now, journeyman Evan Dietrich-Smith is the second-best center on the roster.

Anyone waiting for C.J. Wilson to flash big-time pass rushing skills had better get a chair. It’s going to be a very long wait. He’s not athletic enough to beat quality offensive linemen on a consistent basis. On the other hand, Jarius Wynn just might be. The undersized three-year veteran is enjoying his finest camp. He looks quicker than before and he seems to have added to his repertoire of moves. If he continues to improve, there will be a place for him on the final roster. Mike Neal has only practiced sparingly, but it doesn’t take long to see his potential. Assuming he can stay healthy, he’ll be a more than adequate replacement for Cullen Jenkins. Ryan Pickett and Howard Green look more like sumo wrestlers than defensive linemen, but extra pounds won’t be an issue as long as they can shut down the run.

Erik Walden has taken the early lead in the battle to start opposite Clay Matthews. The former street free agent is playing more like a high draft choice. He looks bigger, stronger and more explosive than he did last season. Frank Zombo and Brad Jones have been OK, but neither has flashed nearly as often as Walden. Sixth-round pick Ricky Elmore was a productive pass rusher in college, but he hasn’t gotten many sniffs of the quarterback yet. In fact, undrafted free agent Jamari Lattimore has probably been more impressive. He needs to get stronger, but he runs well and seems to pack a punch. Depth at inside linebacker is still a concern, but it isn’t quite as big a concern thanks to Robert Francois. The third-year player is much-improved now that he’s taking all of his snaps at one position. He isn’t a big hitter. but he’s smart and fairly athletic. Not surprisingly, sixth-round pick D.J. Smith is still thinking too much.

Davon House and Brandon Underwood were both enjoying solid camps before suffering injuries. The former was making a strong push to be the No. 4 corner and the latter was showing real promise at safety. Veteran Jarrett Bush is covering like a blanket so far, but I’m not getting carried away. He typically plays better in practice than he does in games. Sam Shields was the talk of camp at this time a year ago, but he’s been pretty unspectacular so far. He doesn’t seem to be playing with the same sense of urgency. I’m not worried, but it’s something to keep an eye on. There probably won’t be room for Josh Gordy, but he can play corner in this league. Morgan Burnett has been up-and-down in his return from knee surgery, but his potential is obvious. He has superior range. Brandion Ross and Anthony Levine are talented small-school players who don’t seem to be intimidated by the bright lights.

Mason Crosby is off to another slow start, but he’ll be OK. Tim Masthay, on the other hand, looks terrific. It’s amazing how much better he’s gotten since last summer. Cobb has a chance to be the team’s best returner since Allen Rossum. Under-appreciated long snapper Brett Goode is almost automatic.

-Special thanks to contributor Mike Tahan, who has been covering training camp for Packer Update. Mike wrote this post – all I had to do was edit his shaky spelling and atrocious grammar!

Dec 302010
 
Peprah has played a lot better than expected

Peprah has played a lot better than expected this season

Elton John wrote “Sorry Seems To Be The Hardest Word” in 1976. Today, as another year is about to come to an end, we offer our sincere apologies to those members of the Packers we wronged in 2010.

Let’s begin with John Kuhn, a player we’ve been trying to get rid of for years. To be fair, we weren’t the only ones wrong about this guy. He wasn’t invited to the Scouting Combine, no scouts showed up when he held his Pro Day, the Steelers released him and no teams showed any serious interest when he hit the restricted free agent market the past two springs. Did we mention we almost dry heaved when Mike McCarthy named him the No. 2 halfback after Ryan Grant got hurt? Well, that was then and this is now. Kuhn has more than earned our respect by becoming an integral part of the offense this season. He’s far and away the team’s best short-yardage runner and he’s scored six touchdowns. We wanted him out of town four months ago; now we can’t imagine the Packers without him.

Next comes Charlie Peprah, the only free agent signed by GM Ted Thompson during the offseason. Not only were we unimpressed by this transaction, we were actually angry about it. Why bring back a guy who wasn’t very good in his first stint with the Packers? That’s what we thought. We were wrong. And listening to the coaches rave about Peprah during training camp didn’t change our minds. What changed our minds was watching him play. He isn’t any bigger or faster than before, but he’s healthier, and more importantly, Dom Capers has found ways to minimize his weaknesses while maximizing his strengths. In the end, Green Bay got an adequate starting safety and we got a story idea.

Our final apology is to Sam Shields – although this one isn’t quite as heartfelt. While we didn’t think the ex-Miami star was ready to be the team’s starting nickel back, we were quick to tout his potential. In fact, we wrote a very positive article on Shields after only the second day of training camp. And while it didn’t take a professional scout to see how much talent the young man possessed, it didn’t seem possible for an undrafted rookie with only one year of experience on defense to hold up for 40 or 50 snaps a game against some of the league’s best wide receivers. Well, he has. In fact, he’s been so impressive that it wouldn’t be a shock to see Charles Woodson move to safety a little sooner than expected.

Jul 272010
 
Holding on to Jenkins won't be quite this easy

Holding on to Jenkins won't be quite as easy as this

Training camp doesn’t open for another three days and there may not even be a season in 2011, but that didn’t stop us from taking a quick glance at the Packers who could be unrestricted free agents next March. Assuming – and as of today these assumptions are about as enormous as Ryan Pickett’s pre-training camp belly – that the players and the owners agree to a new collective bargaining agreement and that the number of accrued seasons to achieve true freedom reverts back to four from six, here are the players who would be eligible to hit the open market (along with their age as of 3/31/2011 and their current salary): John Kuhn (27/$1.176M), Korey Hall (28/$550K), Brandon Jackson (25/$550K), Donald Driver (36/$7.206M), James Jones (27/$1.101M), Allen Barbre (26/$550K), Jason Spitz (28/$1.759M), Daryn Colledge (29/$1.759M), Cullen Jenkins (30/$3.2M), Desmond Bishop (26/$550K), Tramon Williams (28/$3.168M/), Atari Bigby (29/$1.759M), Will Blackmon (26/$1.176M), Charlie Peprah (28/$630K) and Mason Crosby (26/$1.0M).

This is hardly an imposing list, but there will be a few interesting decisions facing GM Ted Thompson. As of today, the most compelling scenarios involve Driver, Jones, Colledge, Spitz, Jenkins, Bishop and Williams.

It’s hard to imagine Driver in another uniform, but as Packer fans found out two years ago, you just never know. That said, the only way we see the veteran wide receiver leaving Green Bay is if he asks for too much money or if Thompson isn’t willing to let Jones get away. It’s unlikely that Jones would re-sign unless he foresees a better opportunity to play – something that won’t happen if Driver is still around. Of course, Thompson’s decision on Jones will only be difficult if the former San Jose State star performs at a high level in 2010. Otherwise, he’ll almost certainly be allowed to walk without a fight.

There’s almost no chance that both Colledge and Spitz will return in 2011, so Thompson will have to choose between the two. Spitz – if his health is OK – would be the logical choice since he can play three positions. Not having a CBA brought Colledge back to Green Bay for another season, but his somewhat arrogant personality and his finesse-style of play just aren’t a good with the Packers.

Jenkins already looked to be the key unrestricted free agent in 2011, and his importance to the team’s present and future only increased with the news of Johnny Jolly’s indefinte suspension. It’s very likely that Thompson will want to re-sign the veteran defensive lineman; the big question is whether the feeling will be mutual. For the most part, Jenkins kept quiet last season and admirably did all the dirty work that’s required of an end in the 3-4. Whether he’d voluntarily sign up for more of the same remains to be seen. We have our doubts. That’s why it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the franchise tag used – if there’s even a franchise tag to use.

While Bishop has handled his lack of playing time with great aplomb, you know he’s dying to get a legitimate opportunity to win a starting job. That almost certainly won’t happen this season, but the door could finally open for him in 2011. That’s because A.J. Hawk and his scheduled $11 million contract could be moving on. Of course, even if that happens, Bishop would still have to contend with another overpaid inside linebacker (Brandon Chillar), so he might just decide that parting ways with the Packers makes the most sense. And who could really blame him?

Thompson showed what he thinks of Williams by placing the highest tender on him in February, so the odds are very good that the former street free agent will be around for many years to come. But there are a few variables that could change things between now and next March. For example, what happens if both Pat Lee and Brandon Underwood step up this season? Or if Williams continues to be inconsistent – this time as a fulltime starter. Or if he plays so well that other teams are lining up to make him rich? In short, it’s probably safe to hold on to your No. 38 jersey, but you might want to have a backup number in mind just in case.

The remaining potential unrestricted free agents won’t cause Thompson to lose much sleep. He should be able to pick and choose who comes back and who doesn’t. As of today, we’ll put Crosby, Hall and Jackson in the former category and Barbre, Bigby, Blackmon, Kuhn and Peprah in the latter. But needless to say, all of this can change depending on how these 15 players perform in 2010 and how things go at the bargaining table over the next eight months.

(NOTE- In a few cases, the salaries listed for 2010 are estimates and do not include playing time bonuses, escalator clauses, etc.)

Jul 232010
 
Hall is one of three fullbacks likely fighting for two jobs

Hall is one of three fullbacks likely competing for two jobs

Fans and members of the media were shocked when Green Bay decided to keep three fullbacks on the active roster last season. At a time when many teams have only one player at the position, holding on to John Kuhn, Korey Hall and rookie Quinn Johnson seemed excessive. But there proved to be a logical reason behind the move – Johnson simply wasn’t ready to play and GM Ted Thompson didn’t want to risk placing him on the practice squad. Ironically, this exact scenario could unfold again this summer – albeit at a different position.

Don’t be surprised to see Green Bay keep four tight ends on the 53-man roster in 2010. Barring something unforeseen like an injury or a trade, it’s hard to imagine Donald Lee, Spencer Havner and rookie Andrew Quarless not making the team. Lee is vastly overpaid at $2 million, but he’s long been one of coach Mike McCarthy’s favorite players. And while the 29-year-old clearly regressed as a receiver last season, he does provide capable blocking and a willingness to throw his body around on special teams. Havner literally hurt his chances to make the team by breaking his shoulder in a motorcycle accident a few months ago, but as long as he’s healthy in time for training camp, it’s hard to imagine him not sticking around. The former linebacker showed potential in his first year on offense, and at age 27, he should only get better.

The wild card in the equation is Quarless. Since teams rarely release talented fifth-round draft picks (don’t tell Jamon Meredith that), he’ll have to play his way off the roster. Based on his work during the offseason, that could happen. The former Penn State star dropped way too many passes, and truth be told, he didn’t look nearly as athletic as advertised. Still, he’s far more talented than either Lee or Havner, so as was the case with Johnson a year ago, it’s unlikely that Thompson would risk sending him to the practice squad.

Should all four tight ends manage to make the team, one of the fullbacks will almost certainly have to go. Conventional wisdom points to either Kuhn or Hall being the odd man out since they are very similar players. And while that’s probably how things will work out, don’t hand Johnson a roster spot just yet. The former LSU star, who will never be as good on special teams as either Kuhn or Hall, didn’t have an overly impressive offseason. That said, he appears to be one of those players who’ll always look better in pads than he does in shorts. That’ll need to be true if he wants to keep his No. 45 jersey because the competition will be fierce and the days of collecting fullbacks appear to be over.

Feb 192010
 

Remember all the people who criticized GM Ted Thompson for signing Aaron Rodgers to a six-year, $65 million extension after only seven career starts? Well, according to one agent, the Pro Bowl quarterback would command at least $30 million more if negotiations were held today….. Of Green Bay’s eight restricted free agents, fullback John Kuhn is the most likely to be wearing a different uniform next season. The former Shippensburg star could look to sign with a team that will offer him a better chance to play (i.e., less competition). The Packers already have Korey Hall and promising second-year man Quinn Johnson at the position….. Defensive lineman B.J. Raji will be asked to drop a few pounds between now and the start of training camp. That’s because the coaches believe that last year’s top draft pick will be more effective as a nickel pass rusher at a lighter weight.  He played at 335 as a rookie….. We have no idea what Thompson thinks of Antonio Cromartie, but we’ve been told that his counterpart in San Diego, A.J. Smith, would have little interest in trading the former Pro Bowl corner for Ryan Grant. While the Chargers are definitely in the market for a back, Smith wants that player to be closer to 25 than 30. Grant turns 28 in December.

Dec 052009
 

Inconsistent rookie

The Packers have John Kuhn, Korey Hall and Quinn Johnson on the current 53-man roster, but what they really need is one William Henderson. When comparing the Mike Holmgren offenses of the 90s to the Mike McCarthy offenses of the past three seasons, one of the most overlooked differences is the play at the fullback position. “Henderson was the unsung hero of those great units,” opined a former scout. “He was physical enough to pancake a linebacker in the hole and athletic enough to block effectively on the move. He also had soft hands and could usually make the first tackler miss after the catch. He was terrific. The new guys are just OK.”

McCarthy has used all three of his fullbacks this season, but Kuhn has taken the majority of the snaps. And while the former Shippensburg star has scored three touchdowns, his blocking has been inconsistent. “Kuhn is a good backup,” said the scout. “He can do a little bit of everything and he contributes on special teams, but I’m not sure he’s what you’re looking for in a starter. I would say the same thing about Hall. And the jury’s still out on the rookie.”

Johnson was a fifth-round pick in last April’s draft. The former linebacker at LSU has played sparingly this season due to his inability to pick up the offense. “I’m surprised that he’s having such a hard time with the mental part of the game,” said the scout. “He’s a reasonably bright kid and playing fullback isn’t all that difficult. McCarthy wants to use him more, but he simply doesn’t trust him.” Ironically, the word trust and the name William Henderson were synonymous for over a decade in Green Bay. Who would’ve thought replacing him would prove more difficult than replacing what’s his name?